Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.141408 0.167312 0.196251 0.230925 0.271288 0.316735 0.371730
2024-12-29 0.103205 0.137175 0.179336 0.235276 0.307291 0.396598 0.515438
2025-01-05 0.078650 0.114729 0.163408 0.233379 0.330772 0.460827 0.646818
2025-01-12 0.061441 0.097004 0.148493 0.227634 0.345155 0.511924 0.764839
2025-01-19 0.048991 0.082975 0.135342 0.220699 0.354785 0.555296 0.875059
2025-01-26 0.042213 0.076070 0.131173 0.225712 0.381632 0.625542 1.031603
2025-02-02 0.036540 0.069744 0.126585 0.228796 0.405025 0.692196 1.189176
2025-02-09 0.031613 0.063707 0.121318 0.229566 0.424060 0.753182 1.343437
2025-02-16 0.027918 0.059196 0.117884 0.232744 0.447126 0.822692 1.518558
2025-02-23 0.025520 0.056721 0.117705 0.241611 0.481059 0.913961 1.740098
2025-03-02 0.021728 0.050709 0.109793 0.234543 0.484345 0.950679 1.867663
2025-03-09 0.019334 0.047210 0.106298 0.235539 0.502885 1.016752 2.055029
2025-03-16 0.016803 0.043007 0.100836 0.232020 0.512597 1.068240 2.222449
2025-03-23 0.015342 0.041019 0.099835 0.237801 0.542039 1.161155 2.479977
2025-03-30 0.013546 0.037872 0.095745 0.236201 0.555639 1.223748 2.683326
2025-04-06 0.011744 0.034346 0.090205 0.230459 0.559396 1.266316 2.849712
2025-04-13 0.010132 0.030986 0.084504 0.223458 0.559323 1.300547 3.001648
2025-04-20 0.009349 0.029743 0.083852 0.228533 0.587587 1.398540 3.299430
2025-04-27 0.008557 0.028317 0.082500 0.231655 0.611550 1.489290 3.589756
2025-05-04 0.007753 0.026691 0.080359 0.232433 0.629873 1.569010 3.862743
2025-05-11 0.007132 0.025497 0.079207 0.235649 0.654612 1.665847 4.183656
2025-05-18 0.006771 0.025064 0.080131 0.244619 0.695057 1.803454 4.611800
2025-05-25 0.005923 0.022838 0.075498 0.237469 0.692596 1.837764 4.798194